Psych. 210: Statistics in the Behavioral Sciences

 

                      Fall ’07   3 cr         Sections 3 & 4              HYL 102                                    [7-30-07]

                            

TIME/PLACE:           Sect 3 Tu, Th 10-11:15               Sect 4 Tu, Th 1-2:15   

                                    CRN 11271                                CRN 11272

 

INSTRUCTOR:  Dr. Tom Hogan, Professor of Psychology

                      Office: AMH 223, Tel: Office 941-4268

                      e-mail: Thomas.Hogan@Scranton.edu

                      Office hours: Tu, Th 2:30-3:30 PM, Wed. 10:00-11:00 AM

                      Other times by arrangement.

 

REQUIRED MATERIALS:

       Text: Minium, E.W., Clarke, R. C., & Coladarci, T.

(1999) Elements of statistical reasoning. New York: John Wiley & Sons.

              

Calculator: Get a good calculator at the University bookstore or any other store.  You will also need a computer disk or stick for computer analyses.

 

EVALUATION PROCEDURES:

       There will be four exams, each equally weighted in determining the final grade.  Each exam will be a combination of multiple-choice questions, problems to be worked, and short essays.  The approximate schedule for the exams is given in the course schedule below.  The fourth exam will be given on the date specified for the final exam.  An optional, cumulative final exam will be given immediately following the fourth exam.  Students may take this cumulative exam to improve their grade if they wish; if taken, it will replace the lowest grade on one of the other four exams.  Make-up exams will be given only in documented emergency cases; the nature of the make-up exam is at the discretion of the instructor. Exam grades are posted in ANGEL.

 

ASSIGNMENTS:

       "Homework" assignments will be given in almost every class. These are designed to reinforce material covered in class and are reasonable approximations of problems that will be presented in exams.  Assignments missed, turned in late, or completed inadequately result in a one point reduction in the final percentage grade for the course.  Generally, assignments turned in at one class will be returned at the next class and corrections will be discussed in class. Students may discuss homework assignments among themselves, but it is essential that final work be done by each student individually.  The homework must be completed before it is discussed in class.

 

REVISIONS AND ANNOUNCEMENTS:

       The syllabus is subject to revision. Any revisions will be announced in class. Note also that you will sometimes receive e-mail announcements through Blackboard. Make sure you check your University e-mail account.

 

 

ACADEMIC HONESTY:

       See the University's policy on academic honesty.  A student found cheating or engaging in another form of academic dishonesty will be given an F for the course.

 

CLASS ATTENDANCE, PROCEDURES, STUDY

 

       Most of what you need to learn is in the textbook.  However, class attendance is expected and, except for quantitative geniuses, is normally essential for learning the material. You are responsible for knowing all announcements made in class, including those related to any changes in the attached schedule.

       Classes begin and end promptly.  Suitable attire and civil behavior are expected in class.

       Following are basic rules for getting along with the material to be covered:

 

1. Study the darn stuff.  Students sometimes overlook this seemingly self-evident point.  Normally you will need to study 2-3 hours outside of class for every hour in class.

 

2. Work the problems at the end of each chapter.  It is very easy to deceive yourself into thinking you know the material by just reading about it -- it all seems so simple -- but you don't really know it until you work problems.

 

3. Do all homework assignments.  Work additional problems in the "Problems" on your own.  This will help things sink in.

 

4. Isn't all this stuff done by computer these days?  Some of it is, but you won't know what to ask the computer to do if you don't understand the basic concepts of statistics.  We'll concentrate on these basic concepts.  However, you will also learn how to apply the procedures using SPSS/PC.

 

5. Find examples of statistics outside the text, e.g., in journals in your field and in popular media.

 

6. Become accustomed to speaking and writing in appropriate statistical jargon.  (This is part of "eloquentia perfecta.")

 

7. Don't slide.  With few exceptions, each topic and each class builds on previous topics and classes.  If you get behind, you won't know what's going on.

 

8. If you're totally lost at any point, SCREAM!  That is, if you become disoriented or confused, call attention to the problem immediately (assuming you're diligently keeping up with the material).  Everything fits nicely in the course and it all fits together so if you're lost at some point you'll probably just continue to be lost if you don't immediately scream.

 

9. Never use the excuse that you're "no good at math."  All you need to learn (introductory) statistics is proficiency in arithmetic and the barest elements of algebra.

 


COURSE OBJECTIVES

 

       According to the catalog, Psych. 210 is "An introduction to the basic statistics used in the behavioral sciences, including descriptive statistics, correlation, sampling, hypothesis testing, and inferential statistics." 

       Following is a more detailed list of the principal learning objectives for the course.  Note the correspondence with the topical listing on the course schedule.

 

Know the basic terminology of introductory statistics.

 

Be able to identify variables in research reports. Define independent and dependent variables and constants.

 

Explain the major divisions of statistics and the problems each attacks.

 

Recognize types of scales (nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio) and their key features.

 

Given "raw data" be able to organize and summarize it in a frequency distribution and/or graphic form.  Know standard conventions for preparing these summaries.

 

Be able to calculate measures of central tendency (mean, median, mode); and know their special characteristics.

 

Be able to calculate measures of variability (range, standard deviation, variance); and know their special characteristics.

 

Be able to describe shapes of distributions in conventional terms.

 

Be able to use z-scores, standard scores, and percentiles to describe the location of a score within its distribution.

 

Use z-scores to determine areas under the normal curve; and use table of areas under the normal curve proficiently.

 

Be able to construct bivariate distributions.

 

Be able to calculate (Pearson) correlation coefficients.

 

Identify factors affecting the magnitude of r.

 

Recognize names of other (zero-order) correlation coefficients, including ICC.

 

Have a passing acquaintance with multiple correlation and factor analysis.

 

Be able to calculate predicted scores from regression equations. Determine the standard error of estimate and describe its use.

 

Be sensitive to the interpretation of correlations in terms of causality, heterogeneity, and linearity.

 

Describe correlation and regression as a linear model fit on raw data.

 

Define and apply the key terms related to probability.

 

State and explain the basic steps in testing a hypothesis.

 

Apply and explain the z-test for one mean.

 

Describe hypothesis testing as use of a probability model.

 

Explain the concept of statistical "significance" (or "significant").

 

Define the central limit theorem.

 

Define, calculate, and explain "confidence intervals"

(interval estimates) for a variety of statistics.

 

Explain the difference between the t-test and z-test.

 

Be able to apply and explain the following t-tests for means:

       one sample, two unrelated samples, two related samples

 

Be able to apply and explain significance tests and confidence intervals for r.

 

Define type I and type II errors.

 

Explain the concept of "power" and identify factors affecting the power of statistical tests.

 

Explain the concept of "effect size" and distinguish between statistical and practical significance.

 

Be able to explain and interpret one-way ANOVA (F-test).

 

Be able to explain, interpret n-way ANOVA and the concept of interaction.

 

Be able to apply and explain significance tests for p and s (one sample and two unrelated samples) and confidence interval for p.

 

Be able to calculate and interpret chi-square.

 

Recognize non-parametric tests and the problems they address.

 

Describe non-parametric procedures in terms of assumptions underlying a model; explain concept of robustness.

================

Be able to speak and write about statistical matters in a conventional scientific manner.

 

Demonstrate initial competence in use of SPSS/PC for doing statistics.

 

Be able to give reasonable estimates of statistics based on examination of raw data.


Class Schedule                                                              HW Assignments

                                            (subject to revision; due next class)

 

Tu   Aug28            Syllabus, Ch 1 Intro, basic ideas, measures, scales       Journals, 1: 1,4

Th   Aug 30           Chs 2 & 3 Frequency distributions, graphs                 2: 1, 7, 13 // 3: 4,5,7,11

 

Tu   Spt  4             Ch 4 Central tendency. Start Ch 5                              4: 2, 6, 7 (& draw)

Th   Spt  6             Ch 5 Variability Intro to SPSS                                    5: 3, 4, 6//Verify Table 5.3

                                                                                                             Examples of M, SD in journals

Tu   Spt 11             Start Ch 6: Normal Curve                                          SPSS at “home”; 6: 2,3,5,6,7

Th   Spt 13             Finish Ch. 6; Start Ch. 7                                     6: 10, 11, 12

 

Tu   Spt 18             Test 1 (Chs 1-6); Ch 7

Th   Spt 20             Ch 7 Correlation                                                        7: 3, 4a [computing], 12 

 

Tu   Spt 25             Ch 8 Prediction                                                         8: 3b, 8, 12a-e, 13 b-g

Th   Spt 27             Ch 8 + Intro to multivariate                                        Get journal examples of r

 

Tu   Oct  2             Ch 9 Probability                                                        9: 5, 7

Th   Oct  4             Ch 9 cont.                                                                 9: 9, 18

 

Tu   Oct   9            SPSS correlation and prediction                                  SPSS exercises                    

Th   Oct 11            TEST 2  Chs 7-9                                                       ===

 

Tu   Oct 16            FALL BREAK

Th   Oct 18            Ch 10 Sampling distributions                               10: 9, 11, 15

 

Tu   Oct 23            Ch 11 One-sample z-test                                           11: 4, 9, 10

Th   Oct 25            Ch 12 Interval estimation                                           12: 2, 4, 10

 

Tu   Oct 30            Ch 13 One-sample t-test                                                   13: 10, 22 +another and CI

Th   Nov 1             Ch 14 Two-sample t-test                                           14: 3, 10 (2-tailed), journal ex.

 

Tu   Nov 6             Ch 14 cont. and Ch 15 t-tests                                     15: 3d (2-tailed), 10

Th   Nov 8             Ch 16 Tests for r                                                       16: 2, 3, 8 + in class

 

Tu   Nov 13           Finish Ch 16; TEST 3 Chs 10-15                                               ===

Th   Nov 15           Ch 17 Power, effect size, types of errors                    Written assignment

 

Tu   Nov 20           Ch 18 One-way ANOVA                                          18: 1, 3, 10, 11, 15(on SPSS)

Th   Nov 22           THANKSGIVING

 

Tu   Nov 27           Ch 19 Two-way, n-way ANOVA, interactions           

Th   Nov 29           Ch 19 cont                                                                19: 5 (SPSS), 13

 

Tu   Dec 4             Ch 20 Chi-square                                                      20: 1, 3, 6, 9

Th   Dec 6             Ch 21 Nonparametric tests                                        Journal assignment

 

Tu   Dec 11           FINALS BEGIN    TEST 4 Chs 16-21+ Optional Cum at time for the final